Posts Tagged ‘Bounties’

Hand Analysis – Cold Deck or Bad Play? KK in a Bounty after a suited wheel flop

Friday, May 22nd, 2009

So I haven’t been playing as much as I like lately, and when I do get the chance, I’ve been focusing more on play than writing.  That said, I busted out of an NL Bounty tournament on Cake pretty quick this evening, and thought the hand would be worth discussing:

Situation: Early in NL Hold’em bounty tournament.
Average stack size: 5100.
Position, Middle (UTG+3).
Blinds: $75/$150
Image: TAG

Seat 1: Big Blind ($3,007 in chips)
Seat 2: UTG ($4,869 in chips)
Seat 3: UTG +1 ($3,479 in chips)
Seat 4: UTG +2 ($1,771 in chips)
Seat 5: MainEventOrBust ($5,200 in chips)
Seat 6: Villian 1 ($6,227 in chips)
Seat 7: Villian 2 ($5,560 in chips)
Seat 8: Button ($2,695 in chips) DEALER
Seat 9: Sitting Out ($9,220 in chips) <Just sat down between blinds>
Seat 10: Small Blind ($10,799 in chips)
Small Blind: posts small blind 75
Big Blind: posts Big Blind 150
Dealt to MainEventOrBust [Ks,Kh]
UTG: folds
UTG +1: folds
UTG +2: folds
MainEventOrBust: raises to 600
Villian 1: calls 600
Villian 2: calls 600
Button: folds
Small Blind: folds
Big Blind: folds
*** FLOP *** [2c,5c,4c]
MainEventOrBust: is all in 4600.00
Villian 1: folds
Villian 2: calls 4,600
MainEventOrBust: shows [Ks Kh]
Villian 2: shows [Ac 3c]
*** TURN *** 6s
*** RIVER *** 7s
***SHOW DOWN***
Villian 2: wins 11,225 with Straight Flush, Five high

So I figured with the pot over $2k, it was big enough, and without a club in my hand, I pushed all-in to freeze out the draws, and perhaps even represent that I have the nut draw with my overpair. I figure that if someone has one club, they may ignore the bad odds, and call anyway to try to claim my bounty.  Of course as the HH shows, even running KK wouldn’t save me, since my opponent flopped a straight flush.

My question is this:   Given that it was a bounty tournament, would playing this different save my stack?  Should I have check-folded an overpair with that flop this early?

Or, did I play it just right, and should continue to play this the same way and just move on with my life?

I posted this to a couple of forums, and will share valuable insight of others in this same thread.

Double Up – Not just the title of an R. Kelly album

Friday, March 27th, 2009

So for the most part, I’ve decided to take some of my own advice, and the results so far have been fairly good.

One thing that I discovered on Cake is a variation of the Sit ‘n Go called a “Double-up Tournament.” For those unfamiliar, it’s basically a ten man Turbo in which the top 5 places get paid the same—the tourney ends when the tournament is 5 handed, and if entry was say $10, payout for top 5 players is $20.

The pluses are some good bang for your buck; tables typically last about a half hour (blinds go up every 5 minutes), and there are plenty of donks. I used to like playing heads-up Sit ‘n Go’s, but I think I like this better. The key is not to necessarily try to finish first, but to just outlast 5 other players.

So far my results have been pretty pleasing: I’ve played about 150 of these in the last week or so, and I’m averaging an in-the-money rate of 58%. Now the rake on these is $2 on a $25 entry, which means that essentially you are wagering $27 to win $23—that means that break even win percentage is 54%. Put another way, out of every 100 tourneys you enter, you should win four times your average buy-in if you have a 58% win rate. Now I don’t have any delusions of making a living earning $100 every 50 hours of play, but it has done three things for me:

1) Helped me to grind my way back up to my original bankroll
2) Allowed me to earn the necessary play points to earn about $100 of my pending bonus from Cake for my initial deposit, which I guess we can now call profit.
3) Won a little bit of my confidence back.
4) Forced me to play tighter, especially if I am multitabling. (I have been multitabling occasionally, and so far tight play has allowed me reasonable success—I haven’t broken down the stats, but anecdotal evidence shows that it doesn’t seem to lower my win rate too much if at all.

I’ve also played about five more 30 player bounty tournaments, and won another one. I took seven bounties, plus my own, and the top prize again. Another shot in the arm for my bankroll, and my confidence.

To date, my bankroll sits at $625. My new short-term goal is to grind it up to $1k, so I can move up in limits, and see if I can accelerate my earnings.